Lorenzo Sonego v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Начало: 2026-06-30 14:35 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

54%

46%

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Хозяева)

Прогноз 53.73%1.86справедливый коэффициент

EV -0.058%

Преимущество -0.031%

Kelly -0.067%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.86

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

51.18%53.83%53.66%55.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

1.701.761.771.8658.82%56.80%56.50%53.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Гости)

Прогноз 46.27%2.16справедливый коэффициент

EV -0.987%

Преимущество -0.461%

Kelly -0.866%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.14

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

44.88%46.17%46.34%48.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.83%48.78%46.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева ▼	Гости	Маржа	Обновлено
MyBookie.ag	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -0.058%E -0.031%K -0.067%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-30 14:28
Winamax (DE)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.21%E -1.21%K -2.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (UK)	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.69%E -2.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Coolbet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-30 14:24
Codere (IT)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-30 14:24
ReBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-30 14:24
Unibet (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 14:24
BoyleSports	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Pinnacle	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.987%E -0.461%K -0.866%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
TABtouch	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:30
Grosvenor	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Casumo	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetRivers	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (NL)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Svenska Spel	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
betPARX	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
ATG (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bally Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:30
DraftKings	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 14:29
Winamax (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bovada	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
SportsBet	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-30 14:30
FanDuel	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:30
theScore Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Hard Rock Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetAnything	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Caesars	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betr (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betsson	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
NordicBet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betway	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
TAB	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
GTbets	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Marathon Bet	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
PointsBet (AU)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
Everygame	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:30
PlayUp	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
PMU (FR)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
1xBet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.91%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetUS	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
Neds	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
betfred_uk	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Sky Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bet Victor	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:22
Tipico (DE)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Dabble (AU)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
NetBet (FR)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betclic (FR)	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetMGM	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.12%E -4.75%K -11.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
888sport	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Coral	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Mr Green (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
888sport (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29

Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости	Маржа ▲	Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:30
Matchbook	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:30
ProphetX	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%	2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%	1.0%	2026-06-30 14:30
Novig	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%	1.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Smarkets	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%	2.3%	2026-06-30 14:30