La scuola delle quote

Lorenzo Sonego v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Inizio: 2026-06-30 14:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Casa)

Previsione 53.73%1.86quota equa
EV -0.058%
Vantaggio -0.031%
Kelly -0.067%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.18%53.83%53.66%55.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.761.771.8658.82%56.80%56.50%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.27%2.16quota equa
EV -0.987%
Vantaggio -0.461%
Kelly -0.866%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.88%46.17%46.34%48.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.83%48.78%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -0.058%E -0.031%K -0.067%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:28
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.21%E -1.21%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.69%E -2.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 14:24
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:24
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:24
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:24
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:29
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.987%E -0.461%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:30
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:29
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 14:29
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:29
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 14:29
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 14:29
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.91%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:29
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:29
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:22
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 14:29
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.12%E -4.75%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:30
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-06-30 14:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-06-30 14:30