Lorenzo Sonego v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Início: 2026-06-30 14:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

54%

46%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Previsão 53.73%1.86odd justa

EV -0.058%

Vantagem -0.031%

Kelly -0.067%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

51.18%53.83%53.66%55.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

1.701.761.771.8658.82%56.80%56.50%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Previsão 46.27%2.16odd justa

EV -0.987%

Vantagem -0.461%

Kelly -0.866%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

44.88%46.17%46.34%48.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.83%48.78%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
MyBookie.ag	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -0.058%E -0.031%K -0.067%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-30 14:28
Winamax (DE)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.21%E -1.21%K -2.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (UK)	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.69%E -2.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Coolbet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-30 14:24
Codere (IT)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-30 14:24
ReBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-30 14:24
Unibet (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 14:24
BoyleSports	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Pinnacle	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.987%E -0.461%K -0.866%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
TABtouch	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:30
Grosvenor	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Casumo	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetRivers	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (NL)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Svenska Spel	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
betPARX	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
ATG (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bally Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:30
DraftKings	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 14:29
Winamax (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bovada	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
SportsBet	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-30 14:30
FanDuel	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:30
theScore Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Hard Rock Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetAnything	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Caesars	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betr (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betsson	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
NordicBet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betway	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
TAB	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
GTbets	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Marathon Bet	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
PointsBet (AU)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
Everygame	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:30
PlayUp	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
PMU (FR)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
1xBet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.91%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetUS	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
Neds	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
betfred_uk	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Sky Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bet Victor	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:22
Tipico (DE)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Dabble (AU)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
NetBet (FR)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betclic (FR)	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetMGM	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.12%E -4.75%K -11.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
888sport	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Coral	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Mr Green (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
888sport (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:30
Matchbook	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:30
ProphetX	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%	2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%	1.0%	2026-06-30 14:30
Novig	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%	1.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Smarkets	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%	2.3%	2026-06-30 14:30