Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Flavio Cobolli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 58.61%1.71fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.58%58.67%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.83%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Prediction 41.39%2.42fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%41.42%41.33%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.282.3546.51%43.97%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 58.61%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 41.39%. For Karen Khachanov (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.68, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.53%E -0.910%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 11:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -7.29%E -3.26%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.40%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -11.02%E -5.13%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.39%E -4.68%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.46%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 12:11 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |