StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karen Khachanov v Flavio Cobolli

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-04 12:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karen Khachanov (Heim)

Prognose 58.61%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.53%
Vorteil -0.910%
Kelly -2.25%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.58%58.67%59.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.83%61.73%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.39%2.42faire Quote
EV -2.74%
Vorteil -1.17%
Kelly -2.03%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.57%41.42%41.33%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.272.282.3546.51%43.97%43.86%42.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Karen Khachanov (Heim): 58.61%; Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts): 41.39%. Für Karen Khachanov (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.71. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.68, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.53%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.53%E -0.910%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:15
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 11:48
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:00
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -7.29%E -3.26%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:15
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 11:59
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.40%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:15
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 11:59
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:14
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:09
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:15
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:14
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -11.02%E -5.13%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.39%E -4.68%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.46%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 12:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 12:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-04 12:15
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-07-04 12:15