L’École des cotes

Karen Khachanov v Flavio Cobolli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 12:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prévision 58.61%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.58%58.67%59.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.83%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.39%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.57%41.42%41.33%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.282.3546.51%43.97%43.86%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.53%E -0.910%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 12:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:15
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 11:48
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 12:15
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:00
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:00
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -7.29%E -3.26%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:15
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:15
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 11:59
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.40%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:15
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:00
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:00
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 11:59
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:14
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:15
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:15
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:10
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:14
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:15
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -11.02%E -5.13%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 12:15
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.39%E -4.68%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.46%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 12:00
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 12:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 12:11
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-04 12:15
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-04 12:15
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-04 12:15
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-07-04 12:15