La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karen Khachanov v Flavio Cobolli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Predicción 58.61%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.910%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.58%58.67%59.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.83%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 41.39%2.42momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.57%41.42%41.33%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.282.3546.51%43.97%43.86%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.53%E -0.910%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 12:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.12%E -1.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 11:48 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| ReBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.29%E -1.99%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -7.29%E -3.26%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.87%E -2.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.46%E -2.74%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.40%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:59 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.05%E -3.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 12:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.57%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 12:09 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.64%E -2.47%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.63%E -3.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -6.05%E -2.67%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betsson | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.22%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.28%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -11.02%E -5.13%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.39%E -4.68%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.46%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 12:00 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 12:11 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.56%E -5.49%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |