Language:English
Jannik Sinner v Jan-Lennard Struff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Prediction 91.20%1.10fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -34.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.91%91.23%91.14%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.27%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 8.80%11.37fair odd
EV +49.57%
Edge +2.92%
Kelly +3.10%
Growth +1.54%
assuming max odds 17.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.66%8.77%8.86%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.8210.5017.0011.76%9.25%9.52%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jannik Sinner (Local): 91.20%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 8.80%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.37. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +49.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +49.57%E +2.92%K +3.10%G +1.54% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +16.14%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.214% | 2.8% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172% | 2.9% | 2026-07-07 07:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 12:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 12:07 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.50%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.153% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 11:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 11:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 12:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.18%E +0.103%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 11:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -1.02%E -0.090%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 12:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -1.46%E -0.130%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 05:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 22:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 11:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.82%EV -2.41%E -2.26%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 10.59I 9.44%NM 9.18%EV -6.82%E -0.644%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-07 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.12%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.57I 9.46%NM 8.88%EV -7.00%E -0.662%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -9.82%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 11:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.95%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000% | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.05%EV -10.70%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-07 12:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 12:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -14.21%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 0.9% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03% | 1.5% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.8% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 2.2% | 2026-07-07 12:10 |
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