The School of Odds

Jannik Sinner v Jan-Lennard Struff

2026-07-07 12:00 — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Option 1: Jannik Sinner (Local)

1.0199.01%Min
1.0397.13%Mean
1.0397.09%Median
1.0496.15%Max
89.10%1.122Min
94.34%1.060Max
92.22%1.084Mean
92.10%1.086Median
92.14%1.085IQM
92.44%1.082Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.04 under the IQM model: 92.14%

EV -4.17%Edge -4.01%Kelly -104.35%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)

8.5011.76%Min
12.587.95%Mean
12.008.33%Median
17.005.88%Max
5.66%17.667Min
10.90%9.173Max
7.78%12.850Mean
7.90%12.650Median
7.86%12.723IQM
7.56%13.234Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 17.00 under the IQM model: 7.86%

EV +33.61%Edge +1.98%Kelly +2.10%Growth +0.706%

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerJannik Sinner (Local)Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.04I 96.15% NM 94.24%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.76%EV +33.61% E +1.98% K +2.10% G +0.706%2.0%2026-07-06 16:45
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09% NM 94.29%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.71%EV +33.61% E +1.98% K +2.10% G +0.706%3.0%2026-07-06 06:00
888sport1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV +33.61% E +1.98% K +2.10% G +0.706%3.9%2026-07-05 22:15
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV +33.61% E +1.98% K +2.10% G +0.706%3.9%2026-07-05 22:43
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV +33.61% E +1.98% K +2.10% G +0.706%3.9%2026-07-05 22:43
William Hill1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV +33.61% E +1.98% K +2.10% G +0.706%3.9%2026-07-05 22:54
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15% NM 93.72%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%15.51I 6.45% NM 6.28%EV +21.90% E +1.41% K +1.51% G +0.331%2.6%2026-07-06 17:10
BetAnything1.02I 98.04% NM 93.81%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%15.45I 6.47% NM 6.19%EV +21.43% E +1.39% K +1.48% G +0.318%4.5%2026-07-06 17:10
PlayUp1.03I 97.09% NM 93.57%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.43%EV +17.89% E +1.19% K +1.28% G +0.229%3.8%2026-07-06 13:20
Dabble (AU)1.03I 97.09% NM 93.57%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.43%EV +17.89% E +1.19% K +1.28% G +0.229%3.8%2026-07-06 13:20
Coolbet1.04I 96.15% NM 93.31%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%14.50I 6.90% NM 6.69%EV +13.96% E +0.963% K +1.03% G +0.144%3.1%2026-07-06 01:05
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09% NM 93.37%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%14.50I 6.90% NM 6.63%EV +13.96% E +0.963% K +1.03% G +0.144%4.0%2026-07-06 17:20
DraftKings1.03I 97.09% NM 93.05%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%13.80I 7.25% NM 6.95%EV +8.46% E +0.613% K +0.661% G +0.056%4.3%2026-07-06 16:50
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15% NM 92.85%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%13.50I 7.41% NM 7.15%EV +6.10% E +0.452% K +0.488% G +0.030%3.6%2026-07-06 17:05
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15% NM 92.59%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.41%EV +2.18% E +0.167% K +0.181% G +0.004%3.8%2026-07-06 16:40
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15% NM 92.59%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.41%EV +2.18% E +0.167% K +0.181% G +0.004%3.8%2026-07-06 16:35
FanDuel1.03I 97.09% NM 92.66%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.34%EV +2.18% E +0.167% K +0.181% G +0.004%4.8%2026-07-06 16:39
Bovada1.03I 97.09% NM 92.66%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.34%EV +2.18% E +0.167% K +0.181% G +0.004%4.8%2026-07-06 17:23
Everygame1.02I 98.04% NM 92.72%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.28%EV +2.18% E +0.167% K +0.181% G +0.004%5.7%2026-07-06 16:44
TAB1.01I 99.01% NM 92.79%EV -6.94% E -6.87% K -693.82% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.21%EV +2.18% E +0.167% K +0.181% G +0.004%6.7%2026-07-06 12:15
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01% NM 92.79%EV -6.94% E -6.87% K -693.82% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.21%EV +2.18% E +0.167% K +0.181% G +0.004%6.7%2026-07-06 17:25
GTbets1.03I 97.09% NM 92.65%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.98I 7.70% NM 7.35%EV +2.02% E +0.155% K +0.168% G +0.003%4.8%2026-07-06 16:50
SportsBet1.03I 97.09% NM 92.39%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.61%EV -1.75% E -0.140% K -0.153% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 16:40
Fliff1.02I 98.04% NM 92.34%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%12.30I 8.13% NM 7.66%EV -3.33% E -0.270% K -0.294% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:20
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15% NM 92.02%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.98%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 00:59
Betsson1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:20
Betway1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:20
BetRivers1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Casumo1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
TABtouch1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:10
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:10
betPARX1.03I 97.09% NM 92.10%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.90%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04% NM 92.17%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.83%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:50
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04% NM 92.17%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.83%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04% NM 92.17%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.83%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01% NM 92.24%EV -6.94% E -6.87% K -693.82% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.76%EV -5.68% E -0.474% K -0.517% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Fanatics1.03I 97.09% NM 91.94%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.75I 8.51% NM 8.06%EV -7.65% E -0.651% K -0.712% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 17:20
Neds1.03I 97.09% NM 91.78%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.50I 8.70% NM 8.22%EV -9.61% E -0.836% K -0.916% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.78%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.50I 8.70% NM 8.22%EV -9.61% E -0.836% K -0.916% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 05:55
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.61%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.25I 8.89% NM 8.39%EV -11.58% E -1.03% K -1.13% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:10
Coral1.04I 96.15% NM 91.36%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.64%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 05:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15% NM 91.36%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.64%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 05:54
Unibet (UK)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.44%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.56%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.44%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.56%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:18
betfred_uk1.03I 97.09% NM 91.44%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.56%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.44%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.56%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Codere (IT)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.44%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.56%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.44%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.56%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 14:59
Caesars1.03I 97.09% NM 91.44%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.56%EV -13.54% E -1.23% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 22:34
BetMGM1.04I 96.15% NM 90.99%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 9.01%EV -17.47% E -1.66% K -1.84% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 05:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15% NM 90.58%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.42%EV -21.40% E -2.14% K -2.38% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 16:40
ReBet1.03I 97.09% NM 90.66%EV -5.10% E -4.95% K -169.85% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.34%EV -21.40% E -2.14% K -2.38% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 17:19
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04% NM 90.30%EV -6.02% E -5.90% K -300.84% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.70%EV -25.33% E -2.67% K -2.98% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 17:20
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15% NM 89.10%EV -4.17% E -4.01% K -104.35% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.90%EV -33.19% E -3.91% K -4.43% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerJannik Sinner (Local)Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.06I 94.34% NM 94.29%17.50I 5.71% NM 5.71%0.1%2026-07-06 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34% NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.87%0.2%2026-07-06 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34% NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.87%0.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34% NM 93.96%16.50I 6.06% NM 6.04%0.4%2026-07-06 17:05
ProphetX1.06I 94.34% NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45% NM 6.40%0.8%2026-07-06 16:45
Novig1.06I 94.34% NM 93.55%15.38I 6.50% NM 6.45%0.8%2026-07-06 16:35
Smarkets1.05I 95.24% NM 94.19%17.01I 5.88% NM 5.81%1.1%2026-07-06 17:10