L’École des cotes

Jannik Sinner v Jan-Lennard Struff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 12:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prévision 91.20%1.10cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -34.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.91%91.23%91.14%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.27%96.15%93.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.80%11.37cote équitable
EV +49.57%
Avantage +2.92%
Kelly +3.10%
Croissance +1.54%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.66%8.77%8.86%11.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.8210.5017.0011.76%9.25%9.52%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +49.57%E +2.92%K +3.10%G +1.54%3.9%2026-07-05 22:54
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +16.14%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.214%2.8%2026-07-07 12:10
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%2.9%2026-07-07 07:50
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 11:55
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 12:08
Dabble (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 12:07
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.50%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.153%4.8%2026-07-07 11:49
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%3.6%2026-07-07 11:59
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%4.5%2026-07-07 11:45
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%4.5%2026-07-07 12:08
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%5.4%2026-07-07 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.18%E +0.103%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 11:20
MyBookie.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -1.02%E -0.090%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:08
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -1.46%E -0.130%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 05:35
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 11:45
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 22:34
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 11:20
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:05
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.82%EV -2.41%E -2.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.18%EV -6.82%E -0.644%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 11:30
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 91.12%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.57I 9.46%NM 8.88%EV -7.00%E -0.662%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:05
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:00
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 12:10
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -9.82%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 11:20
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 90.95%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000%10.15I 9.85%NM 9.05%EV -10.70%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:09
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:10
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:04
betfred_uk1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:10
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 12:10
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -14.21%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 12:05
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 11:25
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 11:30
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:10
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 11:55
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:10
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-07-07 12:10
Matchbook1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-07-07 12:10
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%1.5%2026-07-07 12:10
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-07-07 12:10