مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jannik Sinner v Jan-Lennard Struff

البداية: 2026-07-07 12:11 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jannik Sinner (المضيف)

التنبؤ 91.20%1.10السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -34.49%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
88.91%91.23%91.14%94.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.27%96.15%93.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.80%11.37السعر العادل
EV +49.57%
الأفضلية +2.92%
Kelly +3.10%
النمو +1.54%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 17.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.66%8.77%8.86%11.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.5010.8210.5017.0011.76%9.25%9.52%5.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +49.57%E +2.92%K +3.10%G +1.54%3.9%2026-07-05 22:54
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +16.14%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.214%2.8%2026-07-07 12:10
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%2.9%2026-07-07 07:50
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 11:55
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 12:08
Dabble (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 12:07
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.50%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.153%4.8%2026-07-07 11:49
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%3.6%2026-07-07 11:59
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%4.5%2026-07-07 11:45
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%4.5%2026-07-07 12:08
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%5.4%2026-07-07 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.18%E +0.103%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 11:20
MyBookie.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -1.02%E -0.090%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:08
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -1.46%E -0.130%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 05:35
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 11:45
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 22:34
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 11:20
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:05
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.82%EV -2.41%E -2.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.18%EV -6.82%E -0.644%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 11:30
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 91.12%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.57I 9.46%NM 8.88%EV -7.00%E -0.662%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:05
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:00
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 12:10
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -9.82%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 11:20
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 90.95%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000%10.15I 9.85%NM 9.05%EV -10.70%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:09
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:10
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:04
betfred_uk1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:10
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 12:10
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -14.21%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 12:05
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 11:25
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 11:30
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:10
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 11:55
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:10
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-07-07 12:10
Matchbook1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-07-07 12:10
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%1.5%2026-07-07 12:10
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-07-07 12:10