A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Jan-Lennard Struff

Início: 2026-07-07 12:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 91.20%1.10odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -2.26%
Kelly -34.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.91%91.23%91.14%94.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.27%96.15%93.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)

Previsão 8.80%11.37odd justa
EV +49.57%
Vantagem +2.92%
Kelly +3.10%
Crescimento +1.54%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.66%8.77%8.86%11.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.5010.8210.5017.0011.76%9.25%9.52%5.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +49.57%E +2.92%K +3.10%G +1.54%3.9%2026-07-05 22:54
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +16.14%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.214%2.8%2026-07-07 12:10
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%2.9%2026-07-07 07:50
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 11:55
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 12:08
Dabble (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%3.8%2026-07-07 12:07
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +14.38%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.172%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.50%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.153%4.8%2026-07-07 11:49
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%3.6%2026-07-07 11:59
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%4.5%2026-07-07 11:45
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%4.5%2026-07-07 12:08
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +5.58%E +0.465%K +0.507%G +0.028%5.4%2026-07-07 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.18%E +0.103%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 11:20
MyBookie.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -1.02%E -0.090%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:08
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -1.46%E -0.130%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 05:35
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 11:45
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 22:34
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 11:20
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.22%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:05
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.82%EV -2.41%E -2.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.18%EV -6.82%E -0.644%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 11:30
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 91.12%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.57I 9.46%NM 8.88%EV -7.00%E -0.662%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:05
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:00
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -7.62%E -0.725%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 12:10
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -9.82%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 11:20
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 90.95%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000%10.15I 9.85%NM 9.05%EV -10.70%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:09
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:10
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:04
betfred_uk1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.97%E -6.84%K -348.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:10
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 12:10
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -14.21%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 12:05
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.73%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 12:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -18.61%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 11:25
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 11:30
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.81%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:10
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.33%E -3.14%K -55.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 11:55
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:10
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.24%E -4.04%K -84.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.21%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-07-07 12:10
Matchbook1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-07-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-07-07 12:10
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%1.5%2026-07-07 12:10
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-07-07 12:10
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-07-07 12:10