Language:English
Jakub Mensik v Toby Samuel
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prediction 68.03%1.47fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%68.01%68.06%70.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4474.07%71.73%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toby Samuel (Visit)
Prediction 31.97%3.13fair odd
EV +0.711%
Edge +0.226%
Kelly +0.331%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.00%31.99%31.94%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.62%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jakub Mensik (Local): 68.03%; Toby Samuel (Visit): 31.97%. For Toby Samuel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.711%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.711%E +0.226%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.888%E -0.286%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.67%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.85%E -0.602%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:07 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.64%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.14% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.86% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |