Szkoła Kursów

Jakub Mensik v Toby Samuel

Początek: 2026-06-30 13:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.03%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -2.04%
Przewaga -1.42%
Kelly -4.63%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.63%68.01%68.06%70.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.391.401.4474.07%71.73%71.43%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Toby Samuel (Goście)

Prognoza 31.97%3.13kurs godziwy
EV +0.711%
Przewaga +0.226%
Kelly +0.331%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.00%31.99%31.94%34.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.62%33.33%31.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.711%E +0.226%K +0.331%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.888%E -0.286%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:09
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.67%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 13:09
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.85%E -0.602%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:29
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:08
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:08
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:28
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:19
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:08
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:07
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.64%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 13:09
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 13:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:08
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:19
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:20
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-06-30 13:20
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.14%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.86%1.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-06-30 13:20