La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jakub Mensik v Toby Samuel
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Predicción 68.03%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -4.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%68.01%68.06%70.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.391.401.4474.07%71.73%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toby Samuel (Visitante)
Predicción 31.97%3.13momio equitativo
EV +0.711%
Ventaja +0.226%
Kelly +0.331%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.00%31.99%31.94%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.62%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.711%E +0.226%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.888%E -0.286%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.67%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.85%E -0.602%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| BetAnything | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:07 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.64%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.14% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.86% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 13:20 |