Die Wettquotenschule

Jakub Mensik v Toby Samuel

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 13:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Heim)

Prognose 68.03%1.47faire Quote
EV -2.04%
Vorteil -1.42%
Kelly -4.63%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.63%68.01%68.06%70.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.351.391.401.4474.07%71.73%71.43%69.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Toby Samuel (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.97%3.13faire Quote
EV +0.711%
Vorteil +0.226%
Kelly +0.331%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.00%31.99%31.94%34.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.62%33.33%31.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.711%E +0.226%K +0.331%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.888%E -0.286%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:09
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.67%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 13:09
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.85%E -0.602%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:29
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:09
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.49%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:08
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:08
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:28
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:19
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:08
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:07
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.80%E -4.96%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.64%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 13:09
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 13:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:08
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.04%E -1.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:19
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-30 13:20
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-06-30 13:20
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.14%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.86%1.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-06-30 13:20