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Hugo Gaston v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Hugo Gaston (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.68%4.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.39%
Преимущество +1.68%
Kelly +2.10%
Рост +0.176%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.09%24.32%21.47%36.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.603.814.255.0038.46%26.22%23.53%20.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Гости)
Прогноз 78.32%1.28справедливый коэффициент
EV +18.27%
Преимущество +12.10%
Kelly +35.82%
Рост +6.54%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
63.41%75.68%78.53%80.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.281.211.5186.96%78.00%82.99%66.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Hugo Gaston (Хозяева): 21.68%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Гости): 78.32%. Для исхода «Stefanos Tsitsipas (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.28. 22 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 1.51, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +18.27%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -39.52%E -14.16%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV +18.27%E +12.10%K +35.82%G +6.54% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -39.95%E -14.42%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -43.64%E -16.78%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -42.99%E -16.35%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -40.60%E -14.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +11.22%E +7.90%K +26.71%G +3.00% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:27 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +10.43%E +7.40%K +25.45%G +2.66% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -37.14%E -12.81%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +8.09%E +5.86%K +21.28%G +1.72% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -31.72%E -10.07%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +5.74%E +4.25%K +16.39%G +0.940% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.66%E -2.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.54%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +8.39%E +1.68%K +2.10%G +0.176% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-29 14:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.15%E -7.88%K -57.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |