La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Hugo Gaston v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Hugo Gaston (Casa)
Previsione 21.68%4.61quota equa
EV +8.39%
Vantaggio +1.68%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescita +0.176%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.09%24.32%21.47%36.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.603.814.255.0038.46%26.22%23.53%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.32%1.28quota equa
EV +18.27%
Vantaggio +12.10%
Kelly +35.82%
Crescita +6.54%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.41%75.68%78.53%80.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.281.211.5186.96%78.00%82.99%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -39.52%E -14.16%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV +18.27%E +12.10%K +35.82%G +6.54% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -39.95%E -14.42%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -43.64%E -16.78%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -42.99%E -16.35%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| ReBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -40.60%E -14.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +11.22%E +7.90%K +26.71%G +3.00% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:27 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +10.43%E +7.40%K +25.45%G +2.66% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -37.14%E -12.81%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +8.09%E +5.86%K +21.28%G +1.72% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -31.72%E -10.07%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +5.74%E +4.25%K +16.39%G +0.940% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.66%E -2.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Coolbet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.54%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +8.39%E +1.68%K +2.10%G +0.176% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Coral | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bally Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| NordicBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betsson | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fliff | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-29 14:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.15%E -7.88%K -57.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ProphetX | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Novig | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |