La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hugo Gaston v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hugo Gaston (Local)
Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV +8.39%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.176%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.09%24.32%21.47%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.814.255.0038.46%26.22%23.53%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)
Predicción 78.32%1.28momio equitativo
EV +18.27%
Ventaja +12.10%
Kelly +35.82%
Crecimiento +6.54%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%75.68%78.53%80.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.281.211.5186.96%78.00%82.99%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -39.52%E -14.16%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV +18.27%E +12.10%K +35.82%G +6.54% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -39.95%E -14.42%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -43.64%E -16.78%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -42.99%E -16.35%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| ReBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -40.60%E -14.82%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +11.22%E +7.90%K +26.71%G +3.00% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:27 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +10.43%E +7.40%K +25.45%G +2.66% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -37.14%E -12.81%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +8.09%E +5.86%K +21.28%G +1.72% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -31.72%E -10.07%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +5.74%E +4.25%K +16.39%G +0.940% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.66%E -2.98%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Coolbet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.54%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +8.39%E +1.68%K +2.10%G +0.176% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| Coral | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bally Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| NordicBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betsson | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fliff | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-29 14:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.15%E -7.88%K -57.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ProphetX | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Novig | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |