Szkoła Kursów

Hugo Gaston v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Początek: 2026-06-29 15:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Hugo Gaston (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 21.68%4.61kurs godziwy
EV +8.39%
Przewaga +1.68%
Kelly +2.10%
Wzrost +0.176%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.09%24.32%21.47%36.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.603.814.255.0038.46%26.22%23.53%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście)

Prognoza 78.32%1.28kurs godziwy
EV +18.27%
Przewaga +12.10%
Kelly +35.82%
Wzrost +6.54%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.41%75.68%78.53%80.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.151.281.211.5186.96%78.00%82.99%66.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -39.52%E -14.16%K -22.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV +18.27%E +12.10%K +35.82%G +6.54%2.1%2026-06-29 13:59
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -39.95%E -14.42%K -22.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11%2.8%2026-06-29 14:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -43.64%E -16.78%K -27.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +17.48%E +11.66%K +34.97%G +6.11%5.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -42.99%E -16.35%K -26.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV +15.92%E +10.75%K +33.16%G +5.28%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87%3.7%2026-06-29 14:19
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87%3.7%2026-06-29 14:10
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87%3.7%2026-06-29 14:10
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87%4.4%2026-06-29 14:29
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +15.13%E +10.30%K +32.20%G +4.87%4.4%2026-06-29 14:30
SportsBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -40.60%E -14.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48%5.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +14.35%E +9.83%K +31.20%G +4.48%5.5%2026-06-29 14:33
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09%5.3%2026-06-29 14:30
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -41.47%E -15.36%K -24.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09%6.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -42.55%E -16.06%K -25.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +13.57%E +9.36%K +30.15%G +4.09%6.7%2026-06-29 14:29
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71%5.2%2026-06-29 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71%5.2%2026-06-29 14:25
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -40.39%E -14.69%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +12.78%E +8.88%K +29.06%G +3.71%5.8%2026-06-29 14:25
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +11.22%E +7.90%K +26.71%G +3.00%6.1%2026-06-29 14:27
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -39.30%E -14.04%K -21.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV +10.43%E +7.40%K +25.45%G +2.66%6.6%2026-06-29 14:29
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -37.14%E -12.81%K -19.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +8.09%E +5.86%K +21.28%G +1.72%6.9%2026-06-29 14:40
MyBookie.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -31.72%E -10.07%K -14.75%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +5.74%E +4.25%K +16.39%G +0.940%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.66%E -2.98%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 14:41
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.54%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.64%K -20.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:39
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.23%E -4.32%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Fanatics4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:39
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:40
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 14:40
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.80%E -5.71%K -35.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +8.39%E +1.68%K +2.10%G +0.176%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.284%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:39
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:40
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:40
NordicBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Betsson4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:40
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.58%E -6.42%K -42.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.36%E -7.15%K -49.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-29 14:38
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.15%E -7.88%K -57.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 14:40
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.93%E -8.63%K -66.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-06-29 14:40
ProphetX5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%2.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-06-29 14:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-06-29 14:41
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%6.3%2026-06-29 14:40