Language:English
Grigor Dimitrov v Arthur Fery
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grigor Dimitrov (Local)
Prediction 68.85%1.45fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.03%68.75%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.351.4376.92%73.69%74.07%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fery (Visit)
Prediction 31.15%3.21fair odd
EV +5.92%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.146%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%30.97%31.25%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.32%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grigor Dimitrov (Local): 68.85%; Arthur Fery (Visit): 31.15%. For Arthur Fery (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +5.92%E +1.74%K +2.47%G +0.146% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +3.11%E +0.941%K +1.35%G +0.042% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-06 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 15:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -7.48%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.15%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -9.35%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 15:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -1.55%E -1.08%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.90%E -3.81%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.99%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -13.40%E -4.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.89%E -5.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 2.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |