La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Grigor Dimitrov v Arthur Fery
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grigor Dimitrov (Local)
Predicción 68.85%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%69.03%68.75%72.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.351.4376.92%73.69%74.07%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fery (Visitante)
Predicción 31.15%3.21momio equitativo
EV +5.92%
Ventaja +1.74%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +0.146%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%30.97%31.25%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.32%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +5.92%E +1.74%K +2.47%G +0.146% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +3.11%E +0.941%K +1.35%G +0.042% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-06 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 15:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 15:24 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:59 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 14:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -7.48%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betsson | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.15%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -9.35%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 15:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 15:18 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -1.55%E -1.08%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.90%E -3.81%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.99%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -13.40%E -4.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.89%E -5.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 2.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |