Langue:Français
Grigor Dimitrov v Arthur Fery
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grigor Dimitrov (Local)
Prévision 68.85%1.45cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -3.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%69.03%68.75%72.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.351.4376.92%73.69%74.07%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fery (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.15%3.21cote équitable
EV +5.92%
Avantage +1.74%
Kelly +2.47%
Croissance +0.146%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.66%30.97%31.25%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.32%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grigor Dimitrov (Local) : 68.85% ; Arthur Fery (Visiteur) : 31.15%. Pour Arthur Fery (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.21. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +5.92%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +5.92%E +1.74%K +2.47%G +0.146% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +3.11%E +0.941%K +1.35%G +0.042% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-06 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 15:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -7.48%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.86%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.15%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -9.35%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 15:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -1.55%E -1.08%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.90%E -3.81%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.99%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -13.40%E -4.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.89%E -5.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 2.6% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |