A Escola das Odds

Grigor Dimitrov v Arthur Fery

Início: 2026-07-06 15:28 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grigor Dimitrov (Local)

Previsão 68.85%1.45odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -3.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%69.03%68.75%72.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.361.351.4376.92%73.69%74.07%69.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fery (Visitante)

Previsão 31.15%3.21odd justa
EV +5.92%
Vantagem +1.74%
Kelly +2.47%
Crescimento +0.146%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.66%30.97%31.25%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.32%32.26%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +5.92%E +1.74%K +2.47%G +0.146%6.3%2026-07-06 15:25
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +3.11%E +0.941%K +1.35%G +0.042%2.7%2026-07-06 15:20
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034%4.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034%4.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034%4.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034%4.9%2026-07-06 15:25
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034%4.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034%5.5%2026-07-06 15:25
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.80%E +0.849%K +1.22%G +0.034%6.6%2026-07-06 15:25
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-06 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-06 15:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.25%E +0.383%K +0.553%G +0.007%6.0%2026-07-06 15:25
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 15:25
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 15:25
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 15:25
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 15:25
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 15:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.313%E -0.098%K -0.142%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 15:25
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-06 15:00
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 15:25
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.87%E -0.594%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 15:19
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 15:24
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 15:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 15:25
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 15:15
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 15:25
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 15:25
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 15:25
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 15:25
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 15:25
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 15:25
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 15:10
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 14:55
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 15:25
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 14:59
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 15:25
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -9.81%E -7.49%K -31.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -4.99%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 15:25
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 14:54
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 14:55
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 14:55
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 15:25
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 15:25
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 15:25
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 15:25
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -7.48%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 14:55
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 15:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 15:25
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 68.15%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -9.35%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 15:14
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 15:18
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -1.55%E -1.08%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.90%E -3.81%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.99%EV -5.68%E -4.15%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -13.40%E -4.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 15:14
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.89%E -5.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 15:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-07-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-07-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-07-06 15:25
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-07-06 15:25
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-07-06 15:25
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%2.6%2026-07-06 15:25