默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Emilio Nava v Ignacio Buse

开赛时间: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Emilio Nava (主队)

预测 42.09%2.38公平赔率
EV +4.81%
优势 +1.93%
Kelly +3.23%
增长率 +0.155%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
38.37%42.14%41.86%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.252.252.4946.51%44.43%44.44%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ignacio Buse (客队)

预测 57.91%1.73公平赔率
EV -2.72%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -3.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
56.85%57.86%58.14%61.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.641.651.6864.52%61.06%60.61%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Emilio Nava (主队):42.09%;Ignacio Buse (客队):57.91%。 对于“Emilio Nava (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.38。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.49,对应+4.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +4.81%E +1.93%K +3.23%G +0.155%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:58
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:58
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 09:46
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.71%E -2.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.66%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 09:59
NordicBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 09:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-06-29 10:00