Lingua:Italiano
Emilio Nava v Ignacio Buse
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Emilio Nava (Casa)
Previsione 42.09%2.38quota equa
EV +4.81%
Vantaggio +1.93%
Kelly +3.23%
Crescita +0.155%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.37%42.14%41.86%43.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.252.252.4946.51%44.43%44.44%40.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Ignacio Buse (Trasferta)
Previsione 57.91%1.73quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -3.99%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%57.86%58.14%61.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.641.651.6864.52%61.06%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Emilio Nava (Casa): 42.09%; Ignacio Buse (Trasferta): 57.91%. Per Emilio Nava (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.38. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.49, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.81%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +4.81%E +1.93%K +3.23%G +0.155% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.71%E -2.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.66%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |