Die Wettquotenschule

Emilio Nava v Ignacio Buse

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Emilio Nava (Heim)

Prognose 42.09%2.38faire Quote
EV +4.81%
Vorteil +1.93%
Kelly +3.23%
Wachstum +0.155%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.37%42.14%41.86%43.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.152.252.252.4946.51%44.43%44.44%40.16%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Ignacio Buse (Auswärts)

Prognose 57.91%1.73faire Quote
EV -2.72%
Vorteil -1.62%
Kelly -3.99%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%57.86%58.14%61.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.551.641.651.6864.52%61.06%60.61%59.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +4.81%E +1.93%K +3.23%G +0.155%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:58
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 09:45
Betclic (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:58
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 09:46
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.71%E -2.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
DraftKings2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.66%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 09:59
NordicBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-06-29 10:00