Szkoła Kursów

Emilio Nava v Ignacio Buse

Początek: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Emilio Nava (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.09%2.38kurs godziwy
EV +4.81%
Przewaga +1.93%
Kelly +3.23%
Wzrost +0.155%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.37%42.14%41.86%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.252.252.4946.51%44.43%44.44%40.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ignacio Buse (Goście)

Prognoza 57.91%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -2.72%
Przewaga -1.62%
Kelly -3.99%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%57.86%58.14%61.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.641.651.6864.52%61.06%60.61%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +4.81%E +1.93%K +3.23%G +0.155%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:58
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 09:45
Betclic (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:58
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 09:46
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.71%E -2.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
DraftKings2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:58
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.66%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 09:59
NordicBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-06-29 10:00