La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Emilio Nava v Ignacio Buse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Emilio Nava (Local)
Predicción 42.09%2.38momio equitativo
EV +4.81%
Ventaja +1.93%
Kelly +3.23%
Crecimiento +0.155%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.37%42.14%41.86%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.252.4946.51%44.43%44.44%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ignacio Buse (Visitante)
Predicción 57.91%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%57.86%58.14%61.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.6864.52%61.06%60.61%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +4.81%E +1.93%K +3.23%G +0.155% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.08%E -0.461%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.71%E -2.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.55%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.66%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |