Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 19.42%5.15kurs godziwy
EV +191.32%
Przewaga +12.75%
Kelly +13.67%
Wzrost +26.15%
przy maksymalnym kursie 15.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.37%19.46%19.09%26.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.505.084.5015.0028.57%19.69%22.22%6.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Daniil Medvedev (Goście)
Prognoza 80.58%1.24kurs godziwy
EV +3.14%
Przewaga +2.45%
Kelly +11.22%
Wzrost +0.352%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.22%80.54%80.91%93.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.021.171.181.2898.04%85.24%84.75%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| William Hill | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +55.37%E +6.92%K +7.91%G +4.38% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -11.36%E -10.33%K -113.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +16.53%E +2.75%K +3.31%G +0.546% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.67%E +2.03%K +2.46%G +0.287% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.74%EV +11.09%E +1.94%K +2.35%G +0.261% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.26%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.82%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.103% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -0.950%E -0.186%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.97%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Betsson | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:47 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.83%E -0.987%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.46%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -20.37%E -4.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.31%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -26.20%E -6.89%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.083%E -0.067%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -27.17%E -7.25%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -30.08%E -8.36%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +1.53%E +1.21%K +5.88%G +0.090% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -32.02%E -9.15%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV +3.14%E +2.45%K +11.22%G +0.352% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Novig | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.69% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.31% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |