Die Wettquotenschule

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim)

Prognose 19.42%5.15faire Quote
EV +191.32%
Vorteil +12.75%
Kelly +13.67%
Wachstum +26.15%

bei einer Höchstquote von 15.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.37%19.46%19.09%26.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.505.084.5015.0028.57%19.69%22.22%6.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Auswärts)

Prognose 80.58%1.24faire Quote
EV +3.14%
Vorteil +2.45%
Kelly +11.22%
Wachstum +0.352%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.22%80.54%80.91%93.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.021.171.181.2898.04%85.24%84.75%78.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
NordicBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 13:40
William Hill15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 13:30
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +55.37%E +6.92%K +7.91%G +4.38%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -11.36%E -10.33%K -113.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 13:49
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +16.53%E +2.75%K +3.31%G +0.546%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 13:40
MyBookie.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.67%E +2.03%K +2.46%G +0.287%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 13:49
Pinnacle5.72I 17.48%NM 16.74%EV +11.09%E +1.94%K +2.35%G +0.261%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.26%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:40
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.82%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.103%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 13:49
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -0.950%E -0.186%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:50
DraftKings5.04I 19.84%NM 18.97%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 13:49
Betsson5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 13:50
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 13:50
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 13:48
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 13:50
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:47
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.83%E -0.987%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 13:50
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 13:50
Betclic (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 13:48
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-01 13:50
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:50
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 13:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:49
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:50
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:50
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:50
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:50
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:50
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 13:50
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:50
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 13:50
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.46%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-01 13:50
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-01 13:50
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -20.37%E -4.97%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-01 13:50
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.31%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 13:50
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -26.20%E -6.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.083%E -0.067%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 13:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -27.17%E -7.25%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 13:50
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -30.08%E -8.36%K -11.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +1.53%E +1.21%K +5.88%G +0.090%7.1%2026-07-01 13:50
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -32.02%E -9.15%K -12.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV +3.14%E +2.45%K +11.22%G +0.352%6.7%2026-07-01 13:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-07-01 13:50
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-07-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%1.7%2026-07-01 13:50
ProphetX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Novig4.26I 23.47%NM 21.69%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.31%8.2%2026-07-01 13:50