L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prévision 19.42%5.15cote équitable
EV +191.32%
Avantage +12.75%
Kelly +13.67%
Croissance +26.15%
avec la cote maximale 15.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.37%19.46%19.09%26.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.505.084.5015.0028.57%19.69%22.22%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)
Prévision 80.58%1.24cote équitable
EV +3.14%
Avantage +2.45%
Kelly +11.22%
Croissance +0.352%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.22%80.54%80.91%93.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.171.181.2898.04%85.24%84.75%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| William Hill | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +55.37%E +6.92%K +7.91%G +4.38% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -11.36%E -10.33%K -113.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +16.53%E +2.75%K +3.31%G +0.546% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.67%E +2.03%K +2.46%G +0.287% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.74%EV +11.09%E +1.94%K +2.35%G +0.261% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.26%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.82%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.103% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -0.950%E -0.186%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.97%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Betsson | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:47 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.83%E -0.987%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.46%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -20.37%E -4.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.31%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -26.20%E -6.89%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.083%E -0.067%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -27.17%E -7.25%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -30.08%E -8.36%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +1.53%E +1.21%K +5.88%G +0.090% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -32.02%E -9.15%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV +3.14%E +2.45%K +11.22%G +0.352% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Novig | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.69% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.31% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |