La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Casa)
Previsione 19.42%5.15quota equa
EV +191.32%
Vantaggio +12.75%
Kelly +13.67%
Crescita +26.15%
ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.37%19.46%19.09%26.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.505.084.5015.0028.57%19.69%22.22%6.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta)
Previsione 80.58%1.24quota equa
EV +3.14%
Vantaggio +2.45%
Kelly +11.22%
Crescita +0.352%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.22%80.54%80.91%93.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.171.181.2898.04%85.24%84.75%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| William Hill | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +191.32%E +12.75%K +13.67%G +26.15% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -17.81%E -17.46%K -890.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +55.37%E +6.92%K +7.91%G +4.38% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -11.36%E -10.33%K -113.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +16.53%E +2.75%K +3.31%G +0.546% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.67%E +2.03%K +2.46%G +0.287% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.74%EV +11.09%E +1.94%K +2.35%G +0.261% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.26%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.82%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.103% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -0.950%E -0.186%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.97%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| Betsson | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -2.12%E -0.420%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:47 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.83%E -0.987%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.92%E -4.17%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.33%E -6.38%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -8.14%E -7.14%K -58.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.72%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:49 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.55%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.50%E -2.07%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.52%E -3.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.49%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.46%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.31%E -2.75%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -5.72%E -4.89%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.53%E -5.63%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -18.43%E -4.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -8.95%E -7.92%K -68.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -20.37%E -4.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.11%E -3.46%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.31%E -5.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -26.20%E -6.89%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.083%E -0.067%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -27.17%E -7.25%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -1.69%E -1.39%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -30.08%E -8.36%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV +1.53%E +1.21%K +5.88%G +0.090% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -32.02%E -9.15%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV +3.14%E +2.45%K +11.22%G +0.352% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Novig | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.69% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.31% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |