A Escola das OddsIdioma:Português
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Previsão 44.83%2.23odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.623%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.97%44.88%47.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.56%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante)
Previsão 55.17%1.81odd justa
EV +0.958%
Vantagem +0.523%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.011%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%55.03%55.12%56.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.8360.61%58.19%58.14%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.958%E +0.523%K +1.15%G +0.011% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.80%E -1.01%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.80%E -1.01%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.16%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:33 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -4.51%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| Betsson | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -4.51%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| ProphetX | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Novig | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |