Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 44.83%2.23kurs godziwy
EV -1.37%
Przewaga -0.623%
Kelly -1.14%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.15%44.97%44.88%47.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.56%47.62%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Goście)
Prognoza 55.17%1.81kurs godziwy
EV +0.958%
Przewaga +0.523%
Kelly +1.15%
Wzrost +0.011%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.22%55.03%55.12%56.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.651.721.721.8360.61%58.19%58.14%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.958%E +0.523%K +1.15%G +0.011% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.80%E -1.01%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.80%E -1.01%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.16%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:33 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -4.51%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| Betsson | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -4.51%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| ProphetX | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Novig | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |