اللغة:العربية
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Daniel Merida Aguilar
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (المضيف)
التنبؤ 44.83%2.23السعر العادل
EV -1.37%
الأفضلية -0.623%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%44.97%44.88%47.78%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.56%47.62%45.45%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
Daniel Merida Aguilar (الضيف)
التنبؤ 55.17%1.81السعر العادل
EV +0.958%
الأفضلية +0.523%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.011%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.22%55.03%55.12%56.85%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.721.8360.61%58.19%58.14%54.64%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة) احتمالات سوق نتيجة المباراة كالآتي: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (المضيف): 44.83%؛ Daniel Merida Aguilar (الضيف): 55.17%. بالنسبة إلى Daniel Merida Aguilar (الضيف)، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره 1.81. عرضت شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر 1.83، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها +0.958%.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.958%E +0.523%K +1.15%G +0.011% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.80%E -1.01%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.80%E -1.01%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.65%E -3.71%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.46%E -1.97%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.16%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 11:33 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.34%E -5.17%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.96%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.75%E -3.25%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -4.51%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -4.51%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.37%E -0.623%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -8.99%E -4.43%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |