StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexandre Muller v Tommy Paul

Matchstart: 2026-06-29 11:25 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexandre Muller (Hemma)

Prognos 6.40%15.63rättvist odds
EV +47.16%
Fördel +2.05%
Kelly +2.14%
Tillväxt +1.01%

med antagandet om högsta odds 23.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.25%6.61%6.37%9.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.5016.0616.0023.0010.53%6.23%6.25%4.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Borta)

Prognos 93.60%1.07rättvist odds
EV -3.59%
Fördel -3.49%
Kelly -119.68%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.30%93.39%93.63%95.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.021.03100.00%98.35%98.04%97.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexandre Muller (Hemma): 6.40%; Tommy Paul (Borta): 93.60%. För Alexandre Muller (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 15.63. 28 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 23.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +47.16%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +47.16%E +2.05%K +2.14%G +1.01%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-29 11:19
Paddy Power🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.37%E +1.64%K +1.72%G +0.591%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Grosvenor🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
LeoVegas🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Casumo🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
BetRivers🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
SportsBet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
Bally Bet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
betPARX🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +18.37%E +0.993%K +1.05%G +0.193%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 11:20
Pinnacle🎯17.58I 5.69%NM 5.53%EV +12.49%E +0.710%K +0.753%G +0.094%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.47%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 11:20
BetAnything🎯17.45I 5.73%NM 5.52%EV +11.65%E +0.668%K +0.708%G +0.083%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.48%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯17.25I 5.80%NM 5.48%EV +10.37%E +0.601%K +0.638%G +0.066%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.52%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:20
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 11:19
Coolbet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 11:19
FanDuel🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 11:19
888sport🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:20
DraftKings🎯16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +6.21%E +0.374%K +0.398%G +0.025%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:19
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +2.38%E +0.148%K +0.158%G +0.004%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:17
PlayUp🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:20
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Dabble (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:20
ReBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Betway🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:20
betfred_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:20
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:20
1xBet🎯14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -5.30%E -0.358%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 11:19
NordicBet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:19
Betsson🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.62%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Everygame🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:18
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:18
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:19
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:20
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.62%E -2.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:19
Bet Victor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -36.02%E -3.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 11:17
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -39.21%E -4.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 11:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-06-29 11:20
ProphetX21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-06-29 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-06-29 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-06-29 11:20
Matchbook24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%1.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Novig22.73I 4.40%NM 4.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.66%1.5%2026-06-29 11:20
Smarkets23.98I 4.17%NM 4.08%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%2.2%2026-06-29 11:20