Langue:Français
Alexandre Muller v Tommy Paul
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexandre Muller (Local)
Prévision 6.40%15.63cote équitable
EV +47.16%
Avantage +2.05%
Kelly +2.14%
Croissance +1.01%
avec la cote maximale 23.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.25%6.61%6.37%9.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.5016.0616.0023.0010.53%6.23%6.25%4.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visiteur)
Prévision 93.60%1.07cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -3.49%
Kelly -119.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.30%93.39%93.63%95.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.021.03100.00%98.35%98.04%97.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexandre Muller (Local) : 6.40% ; Tommy Paul (Visiteur) : 93.60%. Pour Alexandre Muller (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 15.63. 28 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 23.00, soit une espérance positive de +47.16%.
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +47.16%E +2.05%K +2.14%G +1.01% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.37%E +1.64%K +1.72%G +0.591% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +18.37%E +0.993%K +1.05%G +0.193% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 17.58I 5.69%NM 5.53%EV +12.49%E +0.710%K +0.753%G +0.094% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.47%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 17.45I 5.73%NM 5.52%EV +11.65%E +0.668%K +0.708%G +0.083% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.48%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 17.25I 5.80%NM 5.48%EV +10.37%E +0.601%K +0.638%G +0.066% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.52%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +6.21%E +0.374%K +0.398%G +0.025% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +2.38%E +0.148%K +0.158%G +0.004% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 11:17 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -5.30%E -0.358%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.62%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 11:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 11:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.62%E -2.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -36.02%E -3.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 11:17 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -39.21%E -4.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 22.73I 4.40%NM 4.34% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.66% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 23.98I 4.17%NM 4.08% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |