مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexandre Muller v Tommy Paul

البداية: 2026-06-29 11:25 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexandre Muller (المضيف)

التنبؤ 6.40%15.63السعر العادل
EV +47.16%
الأفضلية +2.05%
Kelly +2.14%
النمو +1.01%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 23.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.25%6.61%6.37%9.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.5016.0616.0023.0010.53%6.23%6.25%4.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tommy Paul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 93.60%1.07السعر العادل
EV -3.59%
الأفضلية -3.49%
Kelly -119.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
90.30%93.39%93.63%95.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.021.021.03100.00%98.35%98.04%97.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +47.16%E +2.05%K +2.14%G +1.01%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-29 11:19
Paddy Power21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.37%E +1.64%K +1.72%G +0.591%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Grosvenor19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet (SE)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
LeoVegas19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Casumo19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Unibet (NL)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
BetRivers19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
SportsBet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
ATG (SE)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Svenska Spel19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
Bally Bet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
betPARX19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Hard Rock Bet18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +18.37%E +0.993%K +1.05%G +0.193%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 11:20
Pinnacle17.58I 5.69%NM 5.53%EV +12.49%E +0.710%K +0.753%G +0.094%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.47%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 11:20
BetAnything17.45I 5.73%NM 5.52%EV +11.65%E +0.668%K +0.708%G +0.083%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.48%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Marathon Bet17.25I 5.80%NM 5.48%EV +10.37%E +0.601%K +0.638%G +0.066%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.52%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:20
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 11:19
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 11:19
FanDuel17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 11:19
Winamax (DE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 11:19
888sport17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:19
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:20
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:20
DraftKings16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +6.21%E +0.374%K +0.398%G +0.025%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:19
NetBet (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +2.38%E +0.148%K +0.158%G +0.004%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:17
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:20
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Dabble (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:20
ReBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Betway15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:15
Unibet (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:20
betfred_uk15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:20
Neds15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:20
1xBet14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -5.30%E -0.358%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 11:19
NordicBet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:19
Betsson14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:20
Winamax (FR)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.62%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:20
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Everygame13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
theScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Betclic (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:18
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:18
Betr (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:19
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:20
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.62%E -2.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:19
Bet Victor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -36.02%E -3.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 11:17
Fanatics9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -39.21%E -4.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 11:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-06-29 11:20
ProphetX21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-06-29 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-06-29 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-06-29 11:20
Matchbook24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%1.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Novig22.73I 4.40%NM 4.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.66%1.5%2026-06-29 11:20
Smarkets23.98I 4.17%NM 4.08%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%2.2%2026-06-29 11:20