La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alexandre Muller v Tommy Paul
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexandre Muller (Casa)
Previsione 6.40%15.63quota equa
EV +47.16%
Vantaggio +2.05%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescita +1.01%
ipotizzando la quota massima 23.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.25%6.61%6.37%9.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.5016.0616.0023.0010.53%6.23%6.25%4.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tommy Paul (Trasferta)
Previsione 93.60%1.07quota equa
EV -3.59%
Vantaggio -3.49%
Kelly -119.68%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.03
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
90.30%93.39%93.63%95.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.021.021.03100.00%98.35%98.04%97.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +47.16%E +2.05%K +2.14%G +1.01% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Paddy Power | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.37%E +1.64%K +1.72%G +0.591% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Unibet | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Casumo | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Bally Bet | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| betPARX | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +18.37%E +0.993%K +1.05%G +0.193% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 17.58I 5.69%NM 5.53%EV +12.49%E +0.710%K +0.753%G +0.094% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.47%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| BetAnything | 17.45I 5.73%NM 5.52%EV +11.65%E +0.668%K +0.708%G +0.083% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.48%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 17.25I 5.80%NM 5.48%EV +10.37%E +0.601%K +0.638%G +0.066% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.52%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| BoyleSports | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Coolbet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| FanDuel | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| 888sport | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| DraftKings | 16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +6.21%E +0.374%K +0.398%G +0.025% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +2.38%E +0.148%K +0.158%G +0.004% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 11:17 |
| PlayUp | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Coral | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| ReBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Betway | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Bovada | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| betfred_uk | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Neds | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| 1xBet | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -5.30%E -0.358%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| NordicBet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Betsson | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.62%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Everygame | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 11:18 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 11:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| TAB | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.62%E -2.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
| Bet Victor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -36.02%E -3.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 11:17 |
| Fanatics | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -39.21%E -4.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 11:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| ProphetX | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Matchbook | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Novig | 22.73I 4.40%NM 4.34% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.66% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 23.98I 4.17%NM 4.08% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 11:20 |