StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexandre Muller v Tommy Paul

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 11:25 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexandre Muller (Heim)

Prognose 6.40%15.63faire Quote
EV +47.16%
Vorteil +2.05%
Kelly +2.14%
Wachstum +1.01%

bei einer Höchstquote von 23.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.25%6.61%6.37%9.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
9.5016.0616.0023.0010.53%6.23%6.25%4.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Auswärts)

Prognose 93.60%1.07faire Quote
EV -3.59%
Vorteil -3.49%
Kelly -119.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.03

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
90.30%93.39%93.63%95.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.001.021.021.03100.00%98.35%98.04%97.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexandre Muller (Heim): 6.40%; Tommy Paul (Auswärts): 93.60%. Für Alexandre Muller (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 15.63. 28 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 23.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +47.16%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +47.16%E +2.05%K +2.14%G +1.01%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-29 11:19
Paddy Power🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +34.37%E +1.64%K +1.72%G +0.591%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Grosvenor🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
LeoVegas🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Casumo🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
BetRivers🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
SportsBet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:19
Bally Bet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
betPARX🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +21.57%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.259%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +18.37%E +0.993%K +1.05%G +0.193%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 11:20
Pinnacle🎯17.58I 5.69%NM 5.53%EV +12.49%E +0.710%K +0.753%G +0.094%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.47%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 11:20
BetAnything🎯17.45I 5.73%NM 5.52%EV +11.65%E +0.668%K +0.708%G +0.083%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.48%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯17.25I 5.80%NM 5.48%EV +10.37%E +0.601%K +0.638%G +0.066%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.52%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:20
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 11:19
Coolbet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 11:19
FanDuel🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 11:19
888sport🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.77%E +0.516%K +0.548%G +0.048%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:20
DraftKings🎯16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +6.21%E +0.374%K +0.398%G +0.025%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:19
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +2.38%E +0.148%K +0.158%G +0.004%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.40%E -6.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:17
PlayUp🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:20
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Dabble (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:20
ReBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.59%E -3.49%K -119.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 11:19
Betway🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:20
betfred_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:20
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.02%E -0.268%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:20
1xBet🎯14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -5.30%E -0.358%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 11:19
NordicBet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:19
Betsson🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.42%E -0.744%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -13.62%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Everygame🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:18
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.82%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.46%E -5.41%K -546.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:18
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:19
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.02%E -1.60%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:20
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.62%E -2.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:19
Bet Victor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -36.02%E -3.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 11:17
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -39.21%E -4.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.53%E -4.44%K -226.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 11:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-06-29 11:20
ProphetX21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-06-29 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-06-29 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-06-29 11:20
Matchbook24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%1.3%2026-06-29 11:20
Novig22.73I 4.40%NM 4.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.66%1.5%2026-06-29 11:20
Smarkets23.98I 4.17%NM 4.08%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%2.2%2026-06-29 11:20