Школа коэффициентов

Alex de Minaur v Zachary Svajda

Начало: 2026-07-04 10:11 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Хозяева)

Прогноз 83.64%1.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.466%
Преимущество -0.392%
Kelly -2.45%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.19

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.99%83.81%83.57%88.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.071.131.121.1993.46%88.79%89.29%84.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Zachary Svajda (Гости)

Прогноз 16.36%6.11справедливый коэффициент
EV +39.04%
Преимущество +4.59%
Kelly +5.21%
Рост +2.03%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.27%16.19%16.43%19.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.825.778.5020.00%17.18%17.33%11.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +39.04%E +4.59%K +5.21%G +2.03%4.4%2026-07-04 10:10
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +14.51%E +2.07%K +2.42%G +0.351%5.2%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189%6.6%2026-07-04 10:10
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%6.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%6.3%2026-07-04 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%7.1%2026-07-04 10:10
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%8.0%2026-07-04 10:10
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -10.50%E -9.82%K -150.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV +4.69%E +0.733%K +0.869%G +0.041%9.1%2026-07-04 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -10.50%E -9.82%K -150.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV +4.69%E +0.733%K +0.869%G +0.041%9.1%2026-07-04 10:10
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +3.06%E +0.485%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.2%2026-07-04 10:10
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.06%E +0.485%K +0.577%G +0.018%6.0%2026-07-04 10:10
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +2.24%E +0.358%K +0.426%G +0.010%6.9%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:10
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:10
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 10:10
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.57%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.43%EV -2.67%E -0.449%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV -5.61%E -0.973%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 10:10
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:10
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.31%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.69%EV -6.10%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 10:10
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 07:15
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.39%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 09:55
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:09
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 09:30
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 08:00
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 09:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:09
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 09:00
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-03 19:30
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 82.72%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.28%EV -12.32%E -2.30%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 10:10
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -13.30%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 10:09
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:50
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:04
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:09
BetAnything1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -16.57%E -3.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 09:15
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.99%EV -0.466%E -0.392%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.01%EV -17.06%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-03 21:29
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.30%E -1.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.39%E -3.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 09:50
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 09:50
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 08:55
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-02 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-02 18:40
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:50
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-04 10:00
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-07-04 10:10
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 87.59%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.41%4.7%2026-07-04 10:10