Szkoła Kursów

Alex de Minaur v Zachary Svajda

Początek: 2026-07-04 10:11 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 83.64%1.20kurs godziwy
EV -0.466%
Przewaga -0.392%
Kelly -2.45%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.19

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
80.99%83.81%83.57%88.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.071.131.121.1993.46%88.79%89.29%84.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Zachary Svajda (Goście)

Prognoza 16.36%6.11kurs godziwy
EV +39.04%
Przewaga +4.59%
Kelly +5.21%
Wzrost +2.03%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.27%16.19%16.43%19.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.825.778.5020.00%17.18%17.33%11.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +39.04%E +4.59%K +5.21%G +2.03%4.4%2026-07-04 10:10
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +14.51%E +2.07%K +2.42%G +0.351%5.2%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189%6.6%2026-07-04 10:10
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%6.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%6.3%2026-07-04 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%7.1%2026-07-04 10:10
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073%8.0%2026-07-04 10:10
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -10.50%E -9.82%K -150.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV +4.69%E +0.733%K +0.869%G +0.041%9.1%2026-07-04 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -10.50%E -9.82%K -150.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV +4.69%E +0.733%K +0.869%G +0.041%9.1%2026-07-04 10:10
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +3.06%E +0.485%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.2%2026-07-04 10:10
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.06%E +0.485%K +0.577%G +0.018%6.0%2026-07-04 10:10
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +2.24%E +0.358%K +0.426%G +0.010%6.9%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:10
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:10
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 10:10
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.57%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.43%EV -2.67%E -0.449%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 10:10
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV -5.61%E -0.973%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 10:10
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 10:10
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:10
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.31%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.69%EV -6.10%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 10:10
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 07:15
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.39%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 09:55
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:09
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 09:30
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 08:00
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 09:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:09
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 09:00
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 09:00
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-03 19:30
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 82.72%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.28%EV -12.32%E -2.30%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 10:10
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -13.30%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 10:09
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 09:50
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:04
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 10:09
BetAnything1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -16.57%E -3.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 09:15
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.99%EV -0.466%E -0.392%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.01%EV -17.06%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-03 21:29
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.30%E -1.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.39%E -3.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 09:50
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 09:50
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 08:55
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-02 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-02 18:40
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:50
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-04 10:00
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-07-04 10:10
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 87.59%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.41%4.7%2026-07-04 10:10