La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex de Minaur v Zachary Svajda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Predicción 83.64%1.20momio equitativo
EV -0.466%
Ventaja -0.392%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.99%83.81%83.57%88.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.131.121.1993.46%88.79%89.29%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zachary Svajda (Visitante)
Predicción 16.36%6.11momio equitativo
EV +39.04%
Ventaja +4.59%
Kelly +5.21%
Crecimiento +2.03%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.27%16.19%16.43%19.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.825.778.5020.00%17.18%17.33%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +39.04%E +4.59%K +5.21%G +2.03% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +14.51%E +2.07%K +2.42%G +0.351% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +10.42%E +1.54%K +1.81%G +0.189% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +6.33%E +0.973%K +1.15%G +0.073% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -10.50%E -9.82%K -150.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV +4.69%E +0.733%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -10.50%E -9.82%K -150.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV +4.69%E +0.733%K +0.869%G +0.041% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +3.06%E +0.485%K +0.577%G +0.018% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.06%E +0.485%K +0.577%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| TAB | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +2.24%E +0.358%K +0.426%G +0.010% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -0.216%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Caesars | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.57%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.43%EV -2.67%E -0.449%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Fliff | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.83%E -8.10%K -98.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -5.12%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV -5.61%E -0.973%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Coral | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.94%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.31%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.69%EV -6.10%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -9.67%E -8.95%K -120.83%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -6.76%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.39%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 09:55 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:09 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 09:30 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 08:00 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:09 |
| ReBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 09:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -11.67%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 19:30 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.72%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.28%EV -12.32%E -2.30%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -13.30%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 09:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 10:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.12%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 10:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -2.98%E -2.56%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -16.57%E -3.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 09:15 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.99%EV -0.466%E -0.392%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.01%EV -17.06%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-03 21:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.30%E -1.10%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -17.39%E -3.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 09:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 09:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-02 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-02 18:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 08:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.59% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.41% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |