Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 34.14%2.93fair odd
EV +0.721%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.370%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%34.00%34.30%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.702.9538.17%36.34%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 65.86%1.52fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.00%65.70%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.441.4772.99%69.75%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 34.14%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 65.86%. For Ugo Humbert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.721%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.721%E +0.244%K +0.370%G +0.003% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.33%EV +0.038%E +0.013%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.67%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.303%E -0.104%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.303%E -0.104%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 22:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.67%E -0.580%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.67%E -0.580%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.69%E -0.945%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 22:26 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.69%E -0.945%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -3.03%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -8.46%E -6.09%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.06%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.19%E -2.17%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 22:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.14%E -5.06%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -9.78%E -7.14%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.01% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.99% | 1.4% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
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