Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ugo Humbert v Ben Shelton

2026-07-30 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%37.27%37.19%38.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.552.6542.55%39.60%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ben Shelton (Visit)

Prediction 62.77%1.59fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.34%62.73%62.81%64.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.84%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.33%E -0.503%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.48%E -4.35%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 10:54
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.45%E -0.935%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 10:55
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 12:00
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 10:54
Bet Right2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 12:05
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -4.68%E -1.83%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 12:00
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.34%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 12:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 13:25
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:54
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.43%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 10:50
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 12:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 12:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 11:58
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 12:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 11:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 10:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 10:55
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.03%E -3.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 10:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 10:50
ReBet2.41I 41.49%NM 37.73%EV -10.27%E -4.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -8.36%E -5.73%K -18.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 12:00
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.39%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 12:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.62%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-29 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.62%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-29 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%3.4%2026-07-29 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-07-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-07-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-07-29 11:25
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 49.53%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.47%86.9%2026-07-29 13:35