Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ugo Humbert v Ben Shelton

Inizio: 2026-07-30 22:39 UTC

Finale: Ugo Humbert 1–2 Ben Shelton

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 34.14%2.93quota equa
EV +0.721%
Vantaggio +0.244%
Kelly +0.370%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.24%34.00%34.30%35.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.752.702.9538.17%36.34%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ben Shelton (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.86%1.52quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -2.17%
Kelly -6.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.53%66.00%65.70%67.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.431.441.4772.99%69.75%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ugo Humbert (Casa): 34.14%; Ben Shelton (Trasferta): 65.86%. Per Ugo Humbert (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.93. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.95, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.721%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.721%E +0.244%K +0.370%G +0.003%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.33%EV +0.038%E +0.013%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.67%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.303%E -0.104%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.303%E -0.104%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 22:30
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 22:24
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 22:20
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 22:25
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 22:34
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.67%E -0.580%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.67%E -0.580%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 21:20
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.69%E -0.945%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 22:26
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.69%E -0.945%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:30
SportsBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -3.03%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -8.46%E -6.09%K -21.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 21:20
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.06%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.19%E -2.17%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 22:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:49
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 22:26
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:30
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 19:20
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.14%E -5.06%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 22:25
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 20:50
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 20:50
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 22:25
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 19:20
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 19:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 19:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:09
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 20:49
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:29
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 22:20
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -9.78%E -7.14%K -26.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-30 22:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:24
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-07-30 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-07-30 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-07-30 22:35
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-07-30 22:35
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-07-30 22:35
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 32.01%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.99%1.4%2026-07-30 21:55
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-07-30 22:35