Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ugo Humbert v Ben Shelton

2026-07-30 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Predicción 37.23%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.99%37.27%37.19%38.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.532.552.6542.55%39.60%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Predicción 62.77%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -6.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.34%62.73%62.81%64.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.84%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.33%E -0.503%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.48%E -4.35%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 10:54
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.45%E -0.935%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 10:55
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 12:00
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 10:54
Bet Right2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 12:05
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -4.68%E -1.83%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 12:00
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.34%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 12:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 14:35
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 12:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:54
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 11:55
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.43%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 10:50
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 12:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 12:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 11:58
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 12:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 11:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 10:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 10:55
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.03%E -3.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 10:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 10:50
ReBet2.41I 41.49%NM 37.73%EV -10.27%E -4.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -8.36%E -5.73%K -18.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 12:00
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.39%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 12:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.62%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-29 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.62%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-29 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%3.4%2026-07-29 12:00
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%9.3%2026-07-29 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-07-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-07-29 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-07-29 11:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 32.92%1.06I 94.34%NM 67.08%40.6%2026-07-29 14:35