Langue:Français
Ugo Humbert v Ben Shelton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prévision 34.14%2.93cote équitable
EV +0.721%
Avantage +0.244%
Kelly +0.370%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%34.00%34.30%35.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.752.702.9538.17%36.34%37.04%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.86%1.52cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -6.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.53%66.00%65.70%67.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.441.4772.99%69.75%69.44%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ugo Humbert (Local) : 34.14% ; Ben Shelton (Visiteur) : 65.86%. Pour Ugo Humbert (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.93. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.95, soit une espérance positive de +0.721%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.721%E +0.244%K +0.370%G +0.003% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.33%EV +0.038%E +0.013%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.67%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.303%E -0.104%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.303%E -0.104%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.986%E -0.340%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 22:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.67%E -0.580%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.67%E -0.580%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.69%E -0.945%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 22:26 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -2.69%E -0.945%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -3.03%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -8.46%E -6.09%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.06%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.19%E -2.17%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 22:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.14%E -5.06%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.64%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.51%E -3.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.48%E -4.57%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -9.52%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -9.78%E -7.14%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.17%E -3.59%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.01% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.99% | 1.4% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-07-30 22:35 |