The School of Odds

Ugo Humbert v Andrej Martin

2026-07-28 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prediction 85.38%1.17fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -12.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.03%85.45%85.41%86.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1591.74%89.92%90.09%86.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Andrej Martin (Visit)

Prediction 14.62%6.84fair odd
EV +6.75%
Edge +0.924%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 7.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.10%14.55%14.59%17.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.256.206.257.3019.05%16.12%16.00%13.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -6.09%E -5.53%K -60.85%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +6.75%E +0.924%K +1.07%G +0.072%4.6%2026-07-27 05:50
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.23%E -4.71%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +0.899%E +0.130%K +0.152%G +0.001%4.6%2026-07-27 06:45
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.38%E -3.91%K -36.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 06:50
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.23%E -4.71%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 05:30
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.23%E -4.71%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 05:29
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.09%E -5.53%K -60.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 05:50
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.38%E -3.91%K -36.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:05
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.23%E -4.71%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 05:30
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.23%E -4.71%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 05:30
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.23%E -4.71%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 06:45
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.09%E -5.53%K -60.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 05:30
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.52%E -3.12%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 07:14
ReBet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -6.94%E -6.37%K -77.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -21.04%E -3.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-27 05:30
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -1.82%E -1.58%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -23.23%E -4.42%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 07:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 79.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.63%21.2%2026-07-27 06:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 79.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.63%21.2%2026-07-27 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 76.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 23.69%26.0%2026-07-27 06:30