Lingua:Italiano
Ugo Humbert v Andrej Martin
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ugo Humbert (Casa)
Previsione 76.89%1.30quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -5.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.77%76.88%76.92%78.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.231.231.2883.33%81.04%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Andrej Martin (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.11%4.33quota equa
EV +1.70%
Vantaggio +0.385%
Kelly +0.499%
Crescita +0.008%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.99%23.12%23.08%26.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.044.004.4027.78%24.78%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ugo Humbert (Casa): 76.89%; Andrej Martin (Trasferta): 23.11%. Per Andrej Martin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.33. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.40, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.70%.
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.70%E +0.385%K +0.499%G +0.008% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV +1.00%E +0.229%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +0.541%E +0.124%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.615%E -0.143%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 06:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 08:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 08:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 07:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -3.62%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 08:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 06:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 07:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 05:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 08:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 08:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 06:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.58%E -1.24%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 05:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 15:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 07:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 07:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 08:39 |