Langue:Français
Ugo Humbert v Andrej Martin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prévision 76.89%1.30cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -5.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.77%76.88%76.92%78.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.231.231.2883.33%81.04%81.30%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Andrej Martin (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.11%4.33cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.499%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%23.12%23.08%26.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.044.004.4027.78%24.78%25.00%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ugo Humbert (Local) : 76.89% ; Andrej Martin (Visiteur) : 23.11%. Pour Andrej Martin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.33. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.70%.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.70%E +0.385%K +0.499%G +0.008% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV +1.00%E +0.229%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +0.541%E +0.124%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.615%E -0.143%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 06:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 08:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 08:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 07:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -3.62%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 08:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 06:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 07:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 05:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 08:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 08:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 06:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 06:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.58%E -1.24%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 05:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 15:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-28 08:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 07:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 07:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 08:39 |